On today’s Animal Spirits, we discuss: Robinhood goes after banks with 3% checking and savings accounts… …Oh wait, nevermind Yea, nevermind Student loans are twice as much as all outstanding credit card debt Never list Are You Ready for the Financial Crisis of 2019? A good Twitter thread People are waking up ridiculously early Listen…
December 2018
Next Year
Ben Graham once said, “Nearly everyone interested in common stocks wants to be told by someone else what he thinks the market is going to do. The demand being there, it must be supplied.” Over the weekend, Barron’s obliged. As is always the case, strategists see stocks going higher next year, with the average price…
Animal Spirits Talk Your Book: International Investing
Today’s Animal Spirits Talk Your Book is presented by iShares On today’s episode, we discuss: Is market cap weighting really sub-optimal? Can factor investing replace old-school active management? Why should investors bother diversifying internationally? S&P envy. Structuring a multi-factor portfolio. Finding unicorn stocks in a multi-factor model. The problem with single variable analysis. Constraining a…
These Are the Goods
Articles because someone sold it to them By Blair duQuesnay If you’ve only recently begun accumulating material levels of assets, I virtually guarantee your tolerance for risk is nowhere near as high as you believe it to be. By Fat Tailed There’s too much to learn and not enough time. By Khe Hy The power of compounding when…
Animal Spirits: Late Cycle
On today’s Animal Spirits, we discuss: Sentiment washout and stocks still can’t bounce The Incredible Hulk of alternatives Money cannot buy rich people more happiness 67% of workers earning >$100k are going to quit their jobs Willing to pay for outperformance Amazon over alcohol? Madoff victims being made whole Open toys, get rich My winter…
The Hardest Problem in Finance
It took a little while to dig myself out of one of the deepest rabbit holes in all of finance, retirement spending strategies. William Sharpe calls it “the nastiest hardest problem in finance.” Retirement, specifically early retirement, has been a hot topic lately, thanks to the FIRE movement and one of its biggest proponents, Mr. Money Mustache. He…
These Are the Goods
Articles The starting point for any question about price in the future ought to begin with price in the present By Josh Brown Outliving one’s financial assets is something to consider insuring. By Blair duQuesnay In the end, it doesn’t matter what caused something to stop working, only that it did. By Nick Maggiulli Shifting…
A Mostly Random Walk Down Wall Street
During a time out at every Knicks home game, a giant spinning air gun is brought onto the court and pointed at the crowd. People of all ages lose their freaking mind, hoping to be one of the lucky ones to catch what can only be described as a parachute sized t-shirt. I’ve never seen…
The Law of Large Numbers
“Apple is so big, it’s running up against the law of large numbers.” This was taken from a New York Times article in February 2012 when the market capitalization was…$487 billion. Another NYT article from 2014 states that “What makes Apple’s challenge particularly daunting is the law of large numbers. Its sales are so big…
Animal Spirits: The Sellers Are in Control
On this week’s Animal Spirits, we discuss The couple who retired in their 30s And how they did it How to retire on a fixed chunk of money When FIRE goes wrong Steak dinners Judge Judy is very rich The sellers are in control Correction could be bullish Listen here: Tweets mentioned This is a…
