These Are the Goods

Articles If your investments are encumbered by loans and debt, you’re not going to be able to withstand many tackles. By Josh Brown The only way to distinguish between theory and practice is to test yourself and understand your biases By Nick Maggiulli Most of the engine noise we hear today is just for show. By Brendan…

A New Look at the Shrinking Public Market

There has been a lot written this year about the shrinking public stock market. Two of the more common reasons provided are the rise and depth of private markets as well as regulations making it more costly to come public. There is a new paper out, Technological Disruptiveness and the Evolution of IPOs and Sell-Outs, that takes…

Animal Spirits: How to Ask the Right Questions

This week’s Animal Spirits is presented by J.P. Morgan Asset Management On today’s show, we discuss: The 401(k) turns 40 years old The automatic 401(k) transfer Asking the right questions Ben’s morning routine Retirees have regrets Why the American dream is dying People don’t finish books Druck says Listen here Charts mentioned Tweets mentioned Three…

Timing the Market

In August 2017 I wrote “This will be my last post on the CAPE ratio.” I made it 16 months, which means I pretty much kept my word. I was listening to Invest Like the Best when Cliff Asness said, “You do not want to make a career trying to beat the stock market based on whether it is…

These Are the Goods

Articles Real income for the bottom 20% of wage-earners grew by a nearly identical amount as the top 5% from 1950 to 1980. By Morgan Housel People need to believe in something By Nick Maggiulli Sam’s entire family has terrible luck when it comes to the timing of their retirement. By Ben Carlson You are…

How to Read Performance

Things were going well for crude oil in 2018. After a few rough years, it was looking to deliver a double digit return, with a 27% gain through early October. The black gold hit nearly $77 a barrel, reaching its highest level in four years. But then, with no warning and without an apology, it…

Animal Spirits: How to Create the Perfect Fund

On this week’s Animal Spirits, we discuss $1,000 a month, no strings attached Universal basic income is ahead of its time Are quants facing a crisis of confidence? Hedge fund bloodbath Survey of the week Robinhood has to make money somehow Million dollar neighborhoods The decline in youth sports Banks have a lot of data…

These Are the Goods

Articles In hindsight, we can see that the value in 2014 $AAPL was real while the value in 2014 $IBM was fake. By Jesse Livermore, Chris Meredith, and Patrick O’Shaughnessy The problem we will face throughout life is how to differentiate between causation and correlation—between signal and noise. By Nick Maggiulli The fact that high…

Learning The Wrong Lessons

Every time there is an article about buy and hold investing, somebody inevitably is in the comment section with “now show Japan.” This is often used as the knee-jerk response to people like myself, who believe that buying and holding should be the default setting for most people with most of their money. Japan experienced one…

I Remember When

I was eating a bagel this weekend when my wife said to me, “I can’t believe you like their tuna, it’s really fishy.” I hadn’t noticed, but she was right, it was fishy. I hate fish. I’ll have tuna on a bagel, but would never order tuna in a restaurant. The reason why I suffer…